A nor’easter predicted for the day before Thanksgiving will produce little-to-no snowfall in the Shore area, but has the potential for some accumulating snows in North Jersey – particularly in the northwestern part of the state.
The National Weather Service office in Mount Holly released a briefing package at 5 p.m. Tuesday with the following timeline for when the storm is forecast to impact the Shore area:
• Low pressure developed over the Gulf of Mexico during the day on Tuesday. The low is expected to intensify as it tracks north northeastward along the East Coast.
• Precipitation is forecast to overspread our region from the south early Wednesday morning. Precipitation is expected to be heavy rain during the daylight hours on Wednesday from the Interstate 95 corridor southeastward and mainly snow at locations well to the northwest.
• The rain – snow line is anticipated to move southeastward on Wednesday afternoon with the rain changing to snow along the Interstate 95 corridor.
• The precipitation is forecast to end early Wednesday night.
According to the briefing, northerly winds are forecast to increase on Wednesday with gusts of 20 to 35 m.p.h. over inland locations and gusts up to 45 mph near the Atlantic coast. The wind is expected to become northwest Wednesday night. Gale force wind gusts (above 38 m.p.h.) are expected on the coastal waters of New Jersey from Wednesday into Wednesday night.
The good news: “Given the speed of this storm and timing of the lunar cycle, tidal flooding is not expected to be a major problem during this event,” the update said. “But spotty minor flooding is possible at the times of high tide on Wednesday, particularly in coastal Delaware.”
No winter weather or winter storm advisories, watches or warnings have been posted for Ocean County.
The vast majority of Ocean County will receive either no snow at all or less than an inch, a snowfall total map released by the weather service indicated. A small swath of northwestern Ocean County could receive 1-2 inches of snow. Most of Monmouth County will receive 1-2 inches of snow, with Middlesex County receiving 2-4 inches. No snow is expected to fall in Atlantic or Cape May counties. A tiny sliver of the northwestern corner of the state could receive 10-14 inches, the map indicates with other areas of Not Jersey (particularly the northwest portion) receiving anywhere from 4-10 inches.