An unexpected round of ocean affect snow gave Jersey Shore residents a small taste of winter on Monday, though forecasters were more interested in a nor’easter that was gaining strength in the ocean south of New Jersey.
The nor’easter could be potentially more powerful than initially estimated, with wind gusts potential reaching 50 m.p.h. or more overnight into Tuesday. Gary Szatkowski, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service’s office in Mount Holly, said observers noted a two foot-high storm surge at Monday morning’s high tide. The high tide cycles Monday night and Tuesday morning were forecast to bring higher water levels which could lead to coastal flooding.
Waves as high as eight feet broke at the shoreline Monday morning, causing some erosion. The erosion was expected to increase overnight and Tuesday, prompting some worry over dunes that still have not recovered from Superstorm Sandy in 2012.
A coastal flood warning was in effect until 1 p.m. Tuesday afternoon for all of Ocean County. Areas prone to minor and moderate back bay flooding were forecast to flood at the times of high tide; wind driven rain and wave action was predicted to exacerbate erosion, according to the warning. The National Weather Service forecast called for anywhere from 1.5 to 3 inches of rain to fall between Monday night and Tuesday.
A wind advisory was in effect until 4 p.m. Tuesday, with gusts forecast to be about 45 m.p.h., though some models suggested gusts between 50 and 60 m.p.h. could be reached. Sustained winds were forecast to be around 25-35 m.p.h. A gale warning was also in effect; seas off Ocean County were forecast to build to 8-13 feet overnight and 11-16 feet Tuesday.
[box type=”shadow” ]High Tide Times for Brick:
- Mantoloking Bridge: 1:38 a.m. Tues., 1:47 p.m. Tues
- Metedeconk River:11:33 p.m. Mon., 11:42 a.m. Tues.
- Manasquan River/Riviera Beach: 9:18 p.m. Mon., 9:27 a.m. Tues., 10:05 p.m. Tues
- Ocean (Seaside Heights): 8:40 p.m. Mon., 8:49 a.m. Tues., 9:27 p.m. Tues[/box]