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Joaquin – Forecast Advisory

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  • Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone OSCAR Forecast/Advisory Number 20



    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 312033
    TCMAT1

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE OSCAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 20
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL162018
    2100 UTC WED OCT 31 2018

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 49.6W AT 31/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 30 DEGREES AT 30 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 976 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
    64 KT....... 0NE 70SE 70SW 0NW.
    50 KT....... 70NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
    34 KT.......230NE 240SE 240SW 280NW.
    12 FT SEAS..330NE 420SE 330SW 360NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.3N 49.6W AT 31/2100Z
    AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.0N 50.5W

    FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 42.6N 46.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 30NE 60SE 60SW 30NW.
    50 KT...100NE 150SE 100SW 90NW.
    34 KT...300NE 330SE 240SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 46.8N 41.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW.
    50 KT... 90NE 110SE 120SW 90NW.
    34 KT...330NE 360SE 390SW 270NW.

    FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 50.7N 35.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 100SE 120SW 90NW.
    34 KT...300NE 420SE 390SW 300NW.

    FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 54.2N 28.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 120SE 150SW 60NW.
    34 KT...360NE 450SE 420SW 300NW.

    FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 59.5N 15.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 180SE 120SW 0NW.
    34 KT...360NE 480SE 540SW 450NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 67.0N 2.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.

    OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.3N 49.6W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON OSCAR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND
    IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...
    UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN