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Shore Environment

Tropical System Forecast to Form Over Next Few Days

A tropical system expected to form off the Dominican Republican. (Credit: CIMSS/ University of Wisconsin)

A tropical system expected to form off the Dominican Republican. (Credit: CIMSS/ University of Wisconsin)

A tropical weather system is expected by forecasters at the National Hurricane Center to form into an organized storm over the next two to five days.

“Satellite imagery indicates that a surface circulation could be organizing near the northern coast of the Dominican Republic in association with the area of disturbed weather near Hispaniola,” the hurricane center said in an outlook Saturday morning. “This system continues to produce shower and thunderstorm activity, and environmental conditions are favorable for the development of a tropical depression or tropical storm today or Sunday. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the system.”



It’s too early to tell if the storm will ever make its way close enough to New Jersey to affect weather at the Shore, but a tracking map plotting the system as it develops shows the classic turn northwest, then a curve east, following the coast off Florida.



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The system has an 80 percent chance of forming into an organized storm over the next 48 hours and a 90 percent chance of forming over the next five days, the hurricane center said.




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